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MBA In Financial Markets: India, along with emerging economies like China, Brazil and Russia are expected to power the global economy in the next few decades. Factors like liberalization, globalization and the emergence of a strong and aspirational middle class are the key drivers of this development.
India’s banking sector is a study in contrast: it supports the world’s fastest-growing large economy but is grappling with the challenges that test its strength and resilience, primary among them is the burden of distressed loans. According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data, the value of banks’ gross nonperforming assets (GNPA) and restructured assets reached $150 billion in April 2016 and has been growing by almost 25% year on year since 2013. Yet headline numbers do not tell the entire story, and there are many layers to the changing face of banking and finance in India.
Even as public sector banks continue to be under pressure from stressed assets and stagnant loan growth, the sector as a whole represents one of the world’s biggest opportunities to create value in banking. Macroeconomic fundamentals continue to be strong, and the country is in the midst of a digital revolution with the advent of demonetization, which has led to the emergence of paperless money and the platforms that support a cashless economy.
The Indian government’s twin thrusts — to encourage digital identification and cashless transactions — are driving change throughout the economy. In addition to the push for digitization, new policies favor financial inclusion and promote competition by allowing new domestic players to set up payments banks (which can only accept deposits and cannot issue loans or credit cards) and small-finance banks (which provide basic banking services to underserved sections of the economy). The further easing of norms, such as permission to set up wholly owned subsidiaries, makes it easier for foreign banks to enter India’s banking sector. Although processes are still evolving, regulatory interventions point to the emergence of a digital, inclusive, and interoperable financial-services market in India.
Notwithstanding the sectoral gloom, India’s macroeconomic fundamentals continue to be strong. GDP has increased from 6.6 to 7.0 percent over the past four years, and International Monetary Fund projections show an upward trend — growth could reach 7.7 percent by 2020. Considering this, the Banking Industry is expected to grow at a healthy rate in the coming years. According to industry experts, while Retail banking will be the key growth area for banks, other areas like Corporate Credit, SME Banking, cross-selling of other financial products and services like Insurance, Mutual Funds, fee-based sources of income, and technological up-gradation will also be significant growth drivers.
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